Hong Kong Observatory automatic weather station observations on April 4, 2026, confirm the highest air temperature peaked at 26°C across stations like Wong Chuk Hang and Happy Valley, with most sites at 24-25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers from a low-pressure trough. This aligns with multi-model consensus forecasts capping highs at 26°C, influenced by cool easterly winds and thunderstorm activity prompting an early morning special weather warning. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects near-resolution certainty, as diurnal heating cycles have passed and evening cooling sets in. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst if showers clear unexpectedly, though model ensembles show low likelihood given current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$112,872 交易量
$112,872 交易量
2026-04-04
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$112,872 交易量
$112,872 交易量
2026-04-04
19°C or below
$5,018 交易量
<1%
20°C
$5,384 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,914 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5,457 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,593 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15,215 交易量
<1%
25°C
$23,020 交易量
<1%
26°C
$15,886 交易量
100%
27°C
$15,088 交易量
<1%
28°C
$8,669 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$6,651 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory automatic weather station observations on April 4, 2026, confirm the highest air temperature peaked at 26°C across stations like Wong Chuk Hang and Happy Valley, with most sites at 24-25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers from a low-pressure trough. This aligns with multi-model consensus forecasts capping highs at 26°C, influenced by cool easterly winds and thunderstorm activity prompting an early morning special weather warning. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects near-resolution certainty, as diurnal heating cycles have passed and evening cooling sets in. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst if showers clear unexpectedly, though model ensembles show low likelihood given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
交易量
$112,872结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory automatic weather station observations on April 4, 2026, confirm the highest air temperature peaked at 26°C across stations like Wong Chuk Hang and Happy Valley, with most sites at 24-25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers from a low-pressure trough. This aligns with multi-model consensus forecasts capping highs at 26°C, influenced by cool easterly winds and thunderstorm activity prompting an early morning special weather warning. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects near-resolution certainty, as diurnal heating cycles have passed and evening cooling sets in. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst if showers clear unexpectedly, though model ensembles show low likelihood given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$112,872结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory automatic weather station observations on April 4, 2026, confirm the highest air temperature peaked at 26°C across stations like Wong Chuk Hang and Happy Valley, with most sites at 24-25°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers from a low-pressure trough. This aligns with multi-model consensus forecasts capping highs at 26°C, influenced by cool easterly winds and thunderstorm activity prompting an early morning special weather warning. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects near-resolution certainty, as diurnal heating cycles have passed and evening cooling sets in. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst if showers clear unexpectedly, though model ensembles show low likelihood given current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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