Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (30.5%) and 24°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 4, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance—relayed via Hong Kong Observatory—forecasting a high of 24°C amid cloudy conditions. This follows subdued recent weather, with April 2 highs at 20°C under rain and April 3 reaching 21°C with clouds, limiting solar insolation and keeping early-spring averages around 20-22°C. Model divergence arises from potential cloud thinning versus persistent overcast, influencing peak afternoon heating; sustained southerly winds could nudge toward 24°C, while thicker stratus favors 23°C. Hourly observations from official stations will clarify as the day unfolds, with resolution based on the airport's maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
23°C 29%
24°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 17.3%
$12,363 交易量
$12,363 交易量
21°C or below
3%
22°C
17%
23°C
29%
24°C
28%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 29%
24°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 17.3%
$12,363 交易量
$12,363 交易量
21°C or below
3%
22°C
17%
23°C
29%
24°C
28%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (30.5%) and 24°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 4, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance—relayed via Hong Kong Observatory—forecasting a high of 24°C amid cloudy conditions. This follows subdued recent weather, with April 2 highs at 20°C under rain and April 3 reaching 21°C with clouds, limiting solar insolation and keeping early-spring averages around 20-22°C. Model divergence arises from potential cloud thinning versus persistent overcast, influencing peak afternoon heating; sustained southerly winds could nudge toward 24°C, while thicker stratus favors 23°C. Hourly observations from official stations will clarify as the day unfolds, with resolution based on the airport's maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题