Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6, with ensemble outputs from sources like CustomWeather and AccuWeather clustering around 23°C amid overcast skies and late showers, slightly favoring 24°C (30%) over 23°C (25%) due to variable cloud cover predictions. Recent developments include a rebound from April 2-3 rainy maxima of 20-21°C to a clearer April 4 forecast high of 25°C, but returning frontal moisture—typical of early spring in the Yangtze River basin—caps intensification potential via reduced insolation. Key differentiators are shower timing and humidity (60-70%), with ECMWF/GFS runs potentially refining odds; updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins due within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
24°C 29%
23°C 25%
22°C 14%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
20°C or below
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
14%
23°C
25%
24°C
29%
25°C
13%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 29%
23°C 25%
22°C 14%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
20°C or below
$1,292 交易量
4%
21°C
$377 交易量
8%
22°C
$253 交易量
14%
23°C
$328 交易量
25%
24°C
$293 交易量
29%
25°C
$311 交易量
13%
26°C
$351 交易量
11%
27°C
$273 交易量
4%
28°C
$250 交易量
2%
29°C
$306 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$299 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6, with ensemble outputs from sources like CustomWeather and AccuWeather clustering around 23°C amid overcast skies and late showers, slightly favoring 24°C (30%) over 23°C (25%) due to variable cloud cover predictions. Recent developments include a rebound from April 2-3 rainy maxima of 20-21°C to a clearer April 4 forecast high of 25°C, but returning frontal moisture—typical of early spring in the Yangtze River basin—caps intensification potential via reduced insolation. Key differentiators are shower timing and humidity (60-70%), with ECMWF/GFS runs potentially refining odds; updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins due within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
交易量
$4,333结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6, with ensemble outputs from sources like CustomWeather and AccuWeather clustering around 23°C amid overcast skies and late showers, slightly favoring 24°C (30%) over 23°C (25%) due to variable cloud cover predictions. Recent developments include a rebound from April 2-3 rainy maxima of 20-21°C to a clearer April 4 forecast high of 25°C, but returning frontal moisture—typical of early spring in the Yangtze River basin—caps intensification potential via reduced insolation. Key differentiators are shower timing and humidity (60-70%), with ECMWF/GFS runs potentially refining odds; updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins due within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,333结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6, with ensemble outputs from sources like CustomWeather and AccuWeather clustering around 23°C amid overcast skies and late showers, slightly favoring 24°C (30%) over 23°C (25%) due to variable cloud cover predictions. Recent developments include a rebound from April 2-3 rainy maxima of 20-21°C to a clearer April 4 forecast high of 25°C, but returning frontal moisture—typical of early spring in the Yangtze River basin—caps intensification potential via reduced insolation. Key differentiators are shower timing and humidity (60-70%), with ECMWF/GFS runs potentially refining odds; updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins due within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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