Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and commercial sources like AccuWeather project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 at 16–18°C, reflecting a cooling trend after warmer days earlier in the week (highs near 27°C on April 5), with trader sentiment closely split across these outcomes due to model spread and inherent forecast uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover, a 66–90% chance of afternoon showers suppressing daytime heating, and southeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits surface warming under the subtropical monsoon regime. April climatology averages highs of 18–20°C, but current guidance emphasizes overcast conditions capping peaks; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears via official observations at ZSPD airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
17°C 21%
18°C 19%
16°C 17%
19°C 15%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
15%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C
15%
20°C
11%
21°C
13%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
4%
17°C 21%
18°C 19%
16°C 17%
19°C 15%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
15%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C
15%
20°C
11%
21°C
13%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and commercial sources like AccuWeather project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 at 16–18°C, reflecting a cooling trend after warmer days earlier in the week (highs near 27°C on April 5), with trader sentiment closely split across these outcomes due to model spread and inherent forecast uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover, a 66–90% chance of afternoon showers suppressing daytime heating, and southeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits surface warming under the subtropical monsoon regime. April climatology averages highs of 18–20°C, but current guidance emphasizes overcast conditions capping peaks; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears via official observations at ZSPD airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题