The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast points to a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 15°C or higher at 46.5% market-implied probability, as this aligns with ongoing spring warming trends and early cherry blossom peaks from above-average March temperatures reaching 22°C. Clustered odds around 11–14°C (14.5–19%) reflect inherent forecast uncertainty four days out, where model ensembles like those from KMA and global systems show variability from southerly winds or passing fronts, against historical early April averages of 14–16°C. Watch for daily short-term updates and new ECMWF/GFS runs by April 6, which could refine land surface conditions and diel temperature peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
15°C or higher 47%
13°C 22%
14°C 17%
11°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
5°C or below
2%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
16%
12°C
15%
13°C
22%
14°C
17%
15°C or higher
47%
15°C or higher 47%
13°C 22%
14°C 17%
11°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
5°C or below
$235 交易量
2%
6°C
$255 交易量
1%
7°C
$443 交易量
3%
8°C
$13 交易量
2%
9°C
$9 交易量
2%
10°C
$5 交易量
3%
11°C
$1 交易量
16%
12°C
$0 交易量
15%
13°C
$3 交易量
22%
14°C
$0 交易量
17%
15°C or higher
$39 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast points to a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 15°C or higher at 46.5% market-implied probability, as this aligns with ongoing spring warming trends and early cherry blossom peaks from above-average March temperatures reaching 22°C. Clustered odds around 11–14°C (14.5–19%) reflect inherent forecast uncertainty four days out, where model ensembles like those from KMA and global systems show variability from southerly winds or passing fronts, against historical early April averages of 14–16°C. Watch for daily short-term updates and new ECMWF/GFS runs by April 6, which could refine land surface conditions and diel temperature peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,003结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast points to a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 15°C or higher at 46.5% market-implied probability, as this aligns with ongoing spring warming trends and early cherry blossom peaks from above-average March temperatures reaching 22°C. Clustered odds around 11–14°C (14.5–19%) reflect inherent forecast uncertainty four days out, where model ensembles like those from KMA and global systems show variability from southerly winds or passing fronts, against historical early April averages of 14–16°C. Watch for daily short-term updates and new ECMWF/GFS runs by April 6, which could refine land surface conditions and diel temperature peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,003结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThe Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast points to a high of 16°C in Seoul on April 8 under mostly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward 15°C or higher at 46.5% market-implied probability, as this aligns with ongoing spring warming trends and early cherry blossom peaks from above-average March temperatures reaching 22°C. Clustered odds around 11–14°C (14.5–19%) reflect inherent forecast uncertainty four days out, where model ensembles like those from KMA and global systems show variability from southerly winds or passing fronts, against historical early April averages of 14–16°C. Watch for daily short-term updates and new ECMWF/GFS runs by April 6, which could refine land surface conditions and diel temperature peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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