Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's high temperature on April 4, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on 70-75°F amid an approaching cold front. Leading probabilities for 70-71°F (26%), 72-73°F (25%), and 74-75°F (23%) stem from yesterday's (April 2) Area Forecast Discussion highlighting increasing clouds, 50% shower chances, and potential thunderstorms Saturday, capping insolation after today's warm 80°F readings. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and lowers highs toward 70s, while delays allow more midday heating—against the April climatological normal of 74°F. Watch for this afternoon's forecast updates resolving near-term model shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
70-71°F 27.9%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 23%
68-69°F 9.0%
$21,987 交易量
$21,987 交易量
2026-04-04
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 27.9%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 23%
68-69°F 9.0%
$21,987 交易量
$21,987 交易量
2026-04-04
67°F or below
$3,079 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$1,611 交易量
9%
70-71°F
$1,853 交易量
28%
72-73°F
$1,622 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$2,134 交易量
23%
76-77°F
$1,619 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$2,143 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$1,558 交易量
5%
82-83°F
$1,618 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$771 交易量
1%
86°F or higher
$3,980 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's high temperature on April 4, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on 70-75°F amid an approaching cold front. Leading probabilities for 70-71°F (26%), 72-73°F (25%), and 74-75°F (23%) stem from yesterday's (April 2) Area Forecast Discussion highlighting increasing clouds, 50% shower chances, and potential thunderstorms Saturday, capping insolation after today's warm 80°F readings. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and lowers highs toward 70s, while delays allow more midday heating—against the April climatological normal of 74°F. Watch for this afternoon's forecast updates resolving near-term model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$21,987结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's high temperature on April 4, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on 70-75°F amid an approaching cold front. Leading probabilities for 70-71°F (26%), 72-73°F (25%), and 74-75°F (23%) stem from yesterday's (April 2) Area Forecast Discussion highlighting increasing clouds, 50% shower chances, and potential thunderstorms Saturday, capping insolation after today's warm 80°F readings. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and lowers highs toward 70s, while delays allow more midday heating—against the April climatological normal of 74°F. Watch for this afternoon's forecast updates resolving near-term model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,987结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's high temperature on April 4, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on 70-75°F amid an approaching cold front. Leading probabilities for 70-71°F (26%), 72-73°F (25%), and 74-75°F (23%) stem from yesterday's (April 2) Area Forecast Discussion highlighting increasing clouds, 50% shower chances, and potential thunderstorms Saturday, capping insolation after today's warm 80°F readings. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival boosts cloud cover and lowers highs toward 70s, while delays allow more midday heating—against the April climatological normal of 74°F. Watch for this afternoon's forecast updates resolving near-term model shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题