Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cold front sweeping through Dallas late Friday into Saturday, ushering cooler post-frontal air and limiting Sunday's high to the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, below the April climatological average of 76°F. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles agree on subdued diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 10 mph, but diverge slightly on cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing—favoring 70-71°F as the peak at 24% implied probability, while 68-69°F and 72-73°F trail closely due to potential for partial clearing or lingering overcast. New NWS updates and overnight model refreshes expected Saturday could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
21%
74°F or higher
11%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
21%
74°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cold front sweeping through Dallas late Friday into Saturday, ushering cooler post-frontal air and limiting Sunday's high to the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, below the April climatological average of 76°F. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles agree on subdued diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 10 mph, but diverge slightly on cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing—favoring 70-71°F as the peak at 24% implied probability, while 68-69°F and 72-73°F trail closely due to potential for partial clearing or lingering overcast. New NWS updates and overnight model refreshes expected Saturday could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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