Latest Finnish Meteorological Institute observations on April 2 showed Helsinki temperatures hovering near 0°C amid cloudy conditions, reinforcing a cool spring pattern driven by northerly airflow from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. For April 8, FMI forecasts a maximum of 7°C with rain, 60% precipitation probability, and gusts to 15 m/s—conditions that could enhance cooling through wind chill and evaporative effects—but global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit spread, with roughly half of members projecting highs at or below -2°C due to potential stalled fronts or increased cloudiness. This scientific uncertainty, typical of 5-day spring forecasts in the Baltic region where historical April maxes average 5°C with sub-zero outliers, underpins the balanced 50% implied probability; traders await daily FMI updates and new model runs for clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 8?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 8?
-2°C or below 28%
-1°C 27%
0°C 26%
1°C 26%
-2°C or below
28%
-1°C
27%
0°C
26%
1°C
26%
2°C
26%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C or higher
14%
-2°C or below 28%
-1°C 27%
0°C 26%
1°C 26%
-2°C or below
28%
-1°C
27%
0°C
26%
1°C
26%
2°C
26%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Finnish Meteorological Institute observations on April 2 showed Helsinki temperatures hovering near 0°C amid cloudy conditions, reinforcing a cool spring pattern driven by northerly airflow from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. For April 8, FMI forecasts a maximum of 7°C with rain, 60% precipitation probability, and gusts to 15 m/s—conditions that could enhance cooling through wind chill and evaporative effects—but global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit spread, with roughly half of members projecting highs at or below -2°C due to potential stalled fronts or increased cloudiness. This scientific uncertainty, typical of 5-day spring forecasts in the Baltic region where historical April maxes average 5°C with sub-zero outliers, underpins the balanced 50% implied probability; traders await daily FMI updates and new model runs for clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题