Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 13°C maximum at Incheon International Airport station amid a cooling trend under high-pressure influence. Recent northerly winds have lowered diurnal highs from 17°C on April 3 to a projected 14°C on April 4, with light clouds potentially capping insolation and peak heating in the afternoon. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS inputs show 1–2°C variability due to cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, driving tight market-implied odds. KMA's 5 PM update and aviation forecasts will refine this further as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
13°C 24%
12°C 22%
14°C 16%
11°C 13%
$23,511 交易量
$23,511 交易量
2026-04-05
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
5%
11°C
13%
12°C
22%
13°C
24%
14°C
16%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
13%
13°C 24%
12°C 22%
14°C 16%
11°C 13%
$23,511 交易量
$23,511 交易量
2026-04-05
6°C or below
$2,317 交易量
<1%
7°C
$2,144 交易量
<1%
8°C
$2,128 交易量
1%
9°C
$1,774 交易量
4%
10°C
$2,601 交易量
5%
11°C
$2,611 交易量
13%
12°C
$1,600 交易量
22%
13°C
$1,521 交易量
24%
14°C
$1,468 交易量
16%
15°C
$2,193 交易量
10%
16°C or higher
$3,172 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 13°C maximum at Incheon International Airport station amid a cooling trend under high-pressure influence. Recent northerly winds have lowered diurnal highs from 17°C on April 3 to a projected 14°C on April 4, with light clouds potentially capping insolation and peak heating in the afternoon. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS inputs show 1–2°C variability due to cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, driving tight market-implied odds. KMA's 5 PM update and aviation forecasts will refine this further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$23,511结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 13°C maximum at Incheon International Airport station amid a cooling trend under high-pressure influence. Recent northerly winds have lowered diurnal highs from 17°C on April 3 to a projected 14°C on April 4, with light clouds potentially capping insolation and peak heating in the afternoon. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS inputs show 1–2°C variability due to cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, driving tight market-implied odds. KMA's 5 PM update and aviation forecasts will refine this further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,511结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 13°C maximum at Incheon International Airport station amid a cooling trend under high-pressure influence. Recent northerly winds have lowered diurnal highs from 17°C on April 3 to a projected 14°C on April 4, with light clouds potentially capping insolation and peak heating in the afternoon. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS inputs show 1–2°C variability due to cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, driving tight market-implied odds. KMA's 5 PM update and aviation forecasts will refine this further as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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