Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C at the Observatory on April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over southern China, with south-to-southeast winds at force 3-4 strengthening later and relative humidity 75-95%. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between 27°C (37.5%) and 26°C (31%), stemming from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—prolonged overcast conditions could cap heating at 26°C, while brief sunny intervals or urban heat island effects might push to 27°C. High moisture and instability limit convective heating, aligning with above-normal April temperatures but moderated by unsettled weather; watch the next HKO update at 11:30 HKT April 5 for refined model guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日香港气温最高？
4月5日香港气温最高？
27°C 36%
26°C 34%
25°C 15%
28°C 11.0%
$23,127 交易量
$23,127 交易量
2026-04-05
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
36%
28°C
11%
29°C或更高
3%
27°C 36%
26°C 34%
25°C 15%
28°C 11.0%
$23,127 交易量
$23,127 交易量
2026-04-05
19°C或以下
$5,208 交易量
<1%
20°C
$5,227 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,028 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,210 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,514 交易量
2%
24°C
$992 交易量
6%
25°C
$807 交易量
15%
26°C
$965 交易量
34%
27°C
$737 交易量
36%
28°C
$883 交易量
11%
29°C或更高
$1,558 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C at the Observatory on April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over southern China, with south-to-southeast winds at force 3-4 strengthening later and relative humidity 75-95%. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between 27°C (37.5%) and 26°C (31%), stemming from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—prolonged overcast conditions could cap heating at 26°C, while brief sunny intervals or urban heat island effects might push to 27°C. High moisture and instability limit convective heating, aligning with above-normal April temperatures but moderated by unsettled weather; watch the next HKO update at 11:30 HKT April 5 for refined model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$23,127结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C at the Observatory on April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over southern China, with south-to-southeast winds at force 3-4 strengthening later and relative humidity 75-95%. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between 27°C (37.5%) and 26°C (31%), stemming from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—prolonged overcast conditions could cap heating at 26°C, while brief sunny intervals or urban heat island effects might push to 27°C. High moisture and instability limit convective heating, aligning with above-normal April temperatures but moderated by unsettled weather; watch the next HKO update at 11:30 HKT April 5 for refined model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,127结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C at the Observatory on April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over southern China, with south-to-southeast winds at force 3-4 strengthening later and relative humidity 75-95%. Trader consensus reflects tight odds between 27°C (37.5%) and 26°C (31%), stemming from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and shower timing—prolonged overcast conditions could cap heating at 26°C, while brief sunny intervals or urban heat island effects might push to 27°C. High moisture and instability limit convective heating, aligning with above-normal April temperatures but moderated by unsettled weather; watch the next HKO update at 11:30 HKT April 5 for refined model guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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