Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 26°C (31%) and 27°C (29.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia advecting warm continental air with subsidence enhancing daytime heating. Recent AEMET observations show highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 amid clear skies and light winds, supporting model projections of 25–29°C peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential thin high-cloud cover that could cap peaks at 26°C versus allowing 27°C. Historical April analogs confirm such warm spells are plausible above the 18–20°C monthly average. Watch AEMET's midday update and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 6?
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
28°C 18.6%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
19%
29°C or higher
5%
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
28°C 18.6%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
$340 交易量
<1%
20°C
$670 交易量
1%
21°C
$294 交易量
1%
22°C
$232 交易量
2%
23°C
$362 交易量
3%
24°C
$335 交易量
9%
25°C
$387 交易量
13%
26°C
$440 交易量
29%
27°C
$379 交易量
30%
28°C
$234 交易量
19%
29°C or higher
$149 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 26°C (31%) and 27°C (29.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia advecting warm continental air with subsidence enhancing daytime heating. Recent AEMET observations show highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 amid clear skies and light winds, supporting model projections of 25–29°C peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential thin high-cloud cover that could cap peaks at 26°C versus allowing 27°C. Historical April analogs confirm such warm spells are plausible above the 18–20°C monthly average. Watch AEMET's midday update and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
交易量
$3,808结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 26°C (31%) and 27°C (29.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia advecting warm continental air with subsidence enhancing daytime heating. Recent AEMET observations show highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 amid clear skies and light winds, supporting model projections of 25–29°C peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential thin high-cloud cover that could cap peaks at 26°C versus allowing 27°C. Historical April analogs confirm such warm spells are plausible above the 18–20°C monthly average. Watch AEMET's midday update and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,808结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 26°C (31%) and 27°C (29.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia advecting warm continental air with subsidence enhancing daytime heating. Recent AEMET observations show highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 amid clear skies and light winds, supporting model projections of 25–29°C peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and potential thin high-cloud cover that could cap peaks at 26°C versus allowing 27°C. Historical April analogs confirm such warm spells are plausible above the 18–20°C monthly average. Watch AEMET's midday update and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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