Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Warsaw's projected highest 2-meter temperature on April 8 clustering tightly at 9–11°C, reflected in market-implied probabilities of 30.5% for 11°C or higher, 27% for 10°C, and 21% for 9°C, with close competition underscoring 4-day forecast uncertainty. A persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe is capping warm air advection, fostering cloudy conditions and light showers that suppress daytime heating, while modest southerly winds offer limited mixing potential. Ensemble spreads of 2–3°C highlight sensitivity to shortwave timing and boundary layer stability. Early April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport averages 11–12°C highs, aligning with leaders; watch IMGW updates and daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于华沙4月8日最高气温？
华沙4月8日最高气温？
11°C或更高 32%
10°C 27%
9°C 24%
8°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
1℃或以下
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
5%
7°C
10%
8°C
16%
9°C
24%
10°C
27%
11°C或更高
32%
11°C或更高 32%
10°C 27%
9°C 24%
8°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
1℃或以下
$386 交易量
1%
2°C
$373 交易量
1%
3°C
$409 交易量
1%
4°C
$502 交易量
1%
5°C
$507 交易量
1%
6°C
$0 交易量
5%
7°C
$69 交易量
10%
8°C
$10 交易量
16%
9°C
$0 交易量
24%
10°C
$2 交易量
27%
11°C或更高
$0 交易量
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Warsaw's projected highest 2-meter temperature on April 8 clustering tightly at 9–11°C, reflected in market-implied probabilities of 30.5% for 11°C or higher, 27% for 10°C, and 21% for 9°C, with close competition underscoring 4-day forecast uncertainty. A persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe is capping warm air advection, fostering cloudy conditions and light showers that suppress daytime heating, while modest southerly winds offer limited mixing potential. Ensemble spreads of 2–3°C highlight sensitivity to shortwave timing and boundary layer stability. Early April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport averages 11–12°C highs, aligning with leaders; watch IMGW updates and daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$2,257结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Warsaw's projected highest 2-meter temperature on April 8 clustering tightly at 9–11°C, reflected in market-implied probabilities of 30.5% for 11°C or higher, 27% for 10°C, and 21% for 9°C, with close competition underscoring 4-day forecast uncertainty. A persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe is capping warm air advection, fostering cloudy conditions and light showers that suppress daytime heating, while modest southerly winds offer limited mixing potential. Ensemble spreads of 2–3°C highlight sensitivity to shortwave timing and boundary layer stability. Early April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport averages 11–12°C highs, aligning with leaders; watch IMGW updates and daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,257结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Warsaw's projected highest 2-meter temperature on April 8 clustering tightly at 9–11°C, reflected in market-implied probabilities of 30.5% for 11°C or higher, 27% for 10°C, and 21% for 9°C, with close competition underscoring 4-day forecast uncertainty. A persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe is capping warm air advection, fostering cloudy conditions and light showers that suppress daytime heating, while modest southerly winds offer limited mixing potential. Ensemble spreads of 2–3°C highlight sensitivity to shortwave timing and boundary layer stability. Early April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport averages 11–12°C highs, aligning with leaders; watch IMGW updates and daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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