Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus peak of 23-25°C for Milan's highest temperature on April 8, driven by a building high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean fostering subsidence, light southerly winds, and enhanced insolation in the Po Valley. Trader sentiment clusters around 23-24°C due to model spread on afternoon cloud cover—some runs predict persistent stratus limiting peaks to 23°C, while others show clearing skies allowing brief surges to 26°C amid urban heat island amplification. This reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, with historical April averages near 19°C exceeded by current mild spring patterns. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine these probabilities as landfall nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
24°C 25%
23°C 17%
25°C 13%
22°C 10%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
10%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
13%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
8%
24°C 25%
23°C 17%
25°C 13%
22°C 10%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
10%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
13%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a consensus peak of 23-25°C for Milan's highest temperature on April 8, driven by a building high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean fostering subsidence, light southerly winds, and enhanced insolation in the Po Valley. Trader sentiment clusters around 23-24°C due to model spread on afternoon cloud cover—some runs predict persistent stratus limiting peaks to 23°C, while others show clearing skies allowing brief surges to 26°C amid urban heat island amplification. This reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, with historical April averages near 19°C exceeded by current mild spring patterns. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine these probabilities as landfall nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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