Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Milan's highest temperature at Milano Linate airport— the official measurement site—near 22–23°C on April 5, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means showing a strengthening upper-level ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Recent 24-hour model updates shifted probabilities upward from prior cooler biases around 21°C, as high-pressure subsidence limits cloud development and maximizes solar insolation despite light northeast breezes. Differentiating 22°C from 23°C hinges on boundary-layer mixing efficiency and any persistent mid-level haze capping peak heating, against an early-April climatological average of 17–18°C. New 12z/00z runs expected within hours and surface observations will refine this tight uncertainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
23°C 37%
22°C 27%
24°C 17%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 37%
22°C 27%
24°C 17%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
16°C or below
$1,348 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,278 交易量
<1%
18°C
$736 交易量
1%
19°C
$188 交易量
3%
20°C
$159 交易量
5%
21°C
$152 交易量
10%
22°C
$336 交易量
27%
23°C
$229 交易量
37%
24°C
$124 交易量
10%
25°C
$202 交易量
9%
26°C or higher
$280 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Milan's highest temperature at Milano Linate airport— the official measurement site—near 22–23°C on April 5, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means showing a strengthening upper-level ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Recent 24-hour model updates shifted probabilities upward from prior cooler biases around 21°C, as high-pressure subsidence limits cloud development and maximizes solar insolation despite light northeast breezes. Differentiating 22°C from 23°C hinges on boundary-layer mixing efficiency and any persistent mid-level haze capping peak heating, against an early-April climatological average of 17–18°C. New 12z/00z runs expected within hours and surface observations will refine this tight uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$5,032结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Milan's highest temperature at Milano Linate airport— the official measurement site—near 22–23°C on April 5, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means showing a strengthening upper-level ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Recent 24-hour model updates shifted probabilities upward from prior cooler biases around 21°C, as high-pressure subsidence limits cloud development and maximizes solar insolation despite light northeast breezes. Differentiating 22°C from 23°C hinges on boundary-layer mixing efficiency and any persistent mid-level haze capping peak heating, against an early-April climatological average of 17–18°C. New 12z/00z runs expected within hours and surface observations will refine this tight uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,032结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket pins Milan's highest temperature at Milano Linate airport— the official measurement site—near 22–23°C on April 5, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means showing a strengthening upper-level ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Recent 24-hour model updates shifted probabilities upward from prior cooler biases around 21°C, as high-pressure subsidence limits cloud development and maximizes solar insolation despite light northeast breezes. Differentiating 22°C from 23°C hinges on boundary-layer mixing efficiency and any persistent mid-level haze capping peak heating, against an early-April climatological average of 17–18°C. New 12z/00z runs expected within hours and surface observations will refine this tight uncertainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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