Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (32.0%), with 23°C or higher at 26.5%, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Milan highs of 20-23°C on April 4 under a developing high-pressure ridge over western Europe bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow. ARPA Lombardia bulletins confirm sunny conditions and light winds, supporting above-climatological averages (~18°C at Milano Linate station), but model divergence—some members capping at 21°C due to potential thin high clouds, others intensifying to 23°C via stronger boundary layer heating—drives the uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Fresh 12Z runs from ECMWF/GFS today and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
22°C 34%
21°C 31%
23°C or higher 26%
20°C 6%
$17,503 交易量
$17,503 交易量
2026-04-04
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
31%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
26%
22°C 34%
21°C 31%
23°C or higher 26%
20°C 6%
$17,503 交易量
$17,503 交易量
2026-04-04
13°C or below
$2,389 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,295 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,221 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,849 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,359 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,414 交易量
3%
19°C
$1,349 交易量
6%
20°C
$1,126 交易量
6%
21°C
$1,191 交易量
31%
22°C
$956 交易量
34%
23°C or higher
$1,380 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (32.0%), with 23°C or higher at 26.5%, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Milan highs of 20-23°C on April 4 under a developing high-pressure ridge over western Europe bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow. ARPA Lombardia bulletins confirm sunny conditions and light winds, supporting above-climatological averages (~18°C at Milano Linate station), but model divergence—some members capping at 21°C due to potential thin high clouds, others intensifying to 23°C via stronger boundary layer heating—drives the uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Fresh 12Z runs from ECMWF/GFS today and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
交易量
$17,503结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (32.0%), with 23°C or higher at 26.5%, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Milan highs of 20-23°C on April 4 under a developing high-pressure ridge over western Europe bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow. ARPA Lombardia bulletins confirm sunny conditions and light winds, supporting above-climatological averages (~18°C at Milano Linate station), but model divergence—some members capping at 21°C due to potential thin high clouds, others intensifying to 23°C via stronger boundary layer heating—drives the uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Fresh 12Z runs from ECMWF/GFS today and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,503结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (32.0%), with 23°C or higher at 26.5%, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Milan highs of 20-23°C on April 4 under a developing high-pressure ridge over western Europe bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow. ARPA Lombardia bulletins confirm sunny conditions and light winds, supporting above-climatological averages (~18°C at Milano Linate station), but model divergence—some members capping at 21°C due to potential thin high clouds, others intensifying to 23°C via stronger boundary layer heating—drives the uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Fresh 12Z runs from ECMWF/GFS today and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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