Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus for Madrid's highest temperature on April 5 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, projecting a cluster around 24-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming over Iberia. The slight edge for 26°C (30.5% implied probability) over 25°C and 27°C (both 22%) stems from ensemble means hovering near 26°C, but model spread of 2-3°C reflects uncertainties in boundary layer mixing, thin high-cloud intrusions, and peak afternoon solar heating timing. Above-normal for early April (historical average ~19°C), this follows a cooler Holy Week transition; watch AEMET updates and fresh 12z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 5?
26°C 31%
25°C 22%
24°C 20%
27°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
20%
25°C
22%
26°C
31%
27°C
19%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 31%
25°C 22%
24°C 20%
27°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
19°C or below
$640 交易量
<1%
20°C
$427 交易量
1%
21°C
$383 交易量
1%
22°C
$484 交易量
4%
23°C
$496 交易量
12%
24°C
$574 交易量
20%
25°C
$644 交易量
22%
26°C
$667 交易量
31%
27°C
$479 交易量
19%
28°C
$436 交易量
3%
29°C or higher
$625 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus for Madrid's highest temperature on April 5 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, projecting a cluster around 24-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming over Iberia. The slight edge for 26°C (30.5% implied probability) over 25°C and 27°C (both 22%) stems from ensemble means hovering near 26°C, but model spread of 2-3°C reflects uncertainties in boundary layer mixing, thin high-cloud intrusions, and peak afternoon solar heating timing. Above-normal for early April (historical average ~19°C), this follows a cooler Holy Week transition; watch AEMET updates and fresh 12z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:47 AM ET
交易量
$5,854结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus for Madrid's highest temperature on April 5 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, projecting a cluster around 24-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming over Iberia. The slight edge for 26°C (30.5% implied probability) over 25°C and 27°C (both 22%) stems from ensemble means hovering near 26°C, but model spread of 2-3°C reflects uncertainties in boundary layer mixing, thin high-cloud intrusions, and peak afternoon solar heating timing. Above-normal for early April (historical average ~19°C), this follows a cooler Holy Week transition; watch AEMET updates and fresh 12z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,854结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:47 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus for Madrid's highest temperature on April 5 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, projecting a cluster around 24-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming over Iberia. The slight edge for 26°C (30.5% implied probability) over 25°C and 27°C (both 22%) stems from ensemble means hovering near 26°C, but model spread of 2-3°C reflects uncertainties in boundary layer mixing, thin high-cloud intrusions, and peak afternoon solar heating timing. Above-normal for early April (historical average ~19°C), this follows a cooler Holy Week transition; watch AEMET updates and fresh 12z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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