Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (45%) and 21°C (41.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles showing daytime surface highs clustered tightly around 21-22°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering above-climatological norms. AEMET's recent spring outlook confirms warmer-than-average conditions for April—versus historical highs of 18-19°C—driven by light northerly winds and ample insolation, though intermittent mid-level clouds introduce variability in peak afternoon heating. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C highlight model disagreements on boundary layer mixing; real-time hourly observations from official stations will sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
21°C 43%
22°C 42%
23°C 10%
20°C 8%
$26,462 交易量
$26,462 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
43%
22°C
42%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 42%
23°C 10%
20°C 8%
$26,462 交易量
$26,462 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
$2,637 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,573 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,604 交易量
<1%
19°C
$4,321 交易量
1%
20°C
$3,209 交易量
8%
21°C
$2,638 交易量
43%
22°C
$2,912 交易量
42%
23°C
$2,826 交易量
10%
24°C
$1,799 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,292 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,650 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (45%) and 21°C (41.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles showing daytime surface highs clustered tightly around 21-22°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering above-climatological norms. AEMET's recent spring outlook confirms warmer-than-average conditions for April—versus historical highs of 18-19°C—driven by light northerly winds and ample insolation, though intermittent mid-level clouds introduce variability in peak afternoon heating. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C highlight model disagreements on boundary layer mixing; real-time hourly observations from official stations will sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ET
交易量
$26,462结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (45%) and 21°C (41.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles showing daytime surface highs clustered tightly around 21-22°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering above-climatological norms. AEMET's recent spring outlook confirms warmer-than-average conditions for April—versus historical highs of 18-19°C—driven by light northerly winds and ample insolation, though intermittent mid-level clouds introduce variability in peak afternoon heating. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C highlight model disagreements on boundary layer mixing; real-time hourly observations from official stations will sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,462结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (45%) and 21°C (41.5%) for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles showing daytime surface highs clustered tightly around 21-22°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering above-climatological norms. AEMET's recent spring outlook confirms warmer-than-average conditions for April—versus historical highs of 18-19°C—driven by light northerly winds and ample insolation, though intermittent mid-level clouds introduce variability in peak afternoon heating. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C highlight model disagreements on boundary layer mixing; real-time hourly observations from official stations will sharpen resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题