Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C and 22°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that project daytime maxima in this narrow range amid inherent short-range uncertainty. The Israel Meteorological Service's April 3 update highlights persistent hazy conditions from Saharan dust, reducing insolation and capping peaks below seasonal norms of 23–24°C, consistent with April 2026's 2.6°C-below-average trend driven by a stable subtropical ridge and mild westerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification versus boundary layer mixing variations; a 1°C swing hinges on cloud cover evolution. Watch IMS briefings and 12Z model runs on April 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
21°C 36%
22°C 36%
23°C 11%
20°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 36%
22°C 36%
23°C 11%
20°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
$433 交易量
1%
15°C
$462 交易量
<1%
16°C
$322 交易量
1%
17°C
$264 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,215 交易量
1%
19°C
$472 交易量
4%
20°C
$391 交易量
10%
21°C
$311 交易量
36%
22°C
$482 交易量
36%
23°C
$664 交易量
11%
24°C or higher
$707 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C and 22°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that project daytime maxima in this narrow range amid inherent short-range uncertainty. The Israel Meteorological Service's April 3 update highlights persistent hazy conditions from Saharan dust, reducing insolation and capping peaks below seasonal norms of 23–24°C, consistent with April 2026's 2.6°C-below-average trend driven by a stable subtropical ridge and mild westerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification versus boundary layer mixing variations; a 1°C swing hinges on cloud cover evolution. Watch IMS briefings and 12Z model runs on April 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,725结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C and 22°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that project daytime maxima in this narrow range amid inherent short-range uncertainty. The Israel Meteorological Service's April 3 update highlights persistent hazy conditions from Saharan dust, reducing insolation and capping peaks below seasonal norms of 23–24°C, consistent with April 2026's 2.6°C-below-average trend driven by a stable subtropical ridge and mild westerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification versus boundary layer mixing variations; a 1°C swing hinges on cloud cover evolution. Watch IMS briefings and 12Z model runs on April 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,725结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C and 22°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting divergent latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that project daytime maxima in this narrow range amid inherent short-range uncertainty. The Israel Meteorological Service's April 3 update highlights persistent hazy conditions from Saharan dust, reducing insolation and capping peaks below seasonal norms of 23–24°C, consistent with April 2026's 2.6°C-below-average trend driven by a stable subtropical ridge and mild westerly flows. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification versus boundary layer mixing variations; a 1°C swing hinges on cloud cover evolution. Watch IMS briefings and 12Z model runs on April 5 for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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