Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a high near 21-22°C in Tel Aviv on April 5, reflecting trader sentiment with those outcomes leading at 34% and 28% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from anticipated moderate westerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing peak solar insolation and daytime heating, against a climatological April early-month average of 22-23°C influenced by warming Mediterranean sea surface temperatures. Close competition between 21°C and 22°C arises from model spread on exact timing of clearing skies and sea breeze onset, introducing uncertainty typical of short-range mesoscale forecasts. New model runs expected April 4 morning may sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日特拉维夫气温最高？
4月5日特拉维夫气温最高？
21°C 36%
22°C 26%
20°C 17%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
16℃或以下
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
10%
20°C
17%
21°C
36%
22°C
26%
23°C
11%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 26%
20°C 17%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
16℃或以下
$495 交易量
2%
17°C
$80 交易量
3%
18°C
$121 交易量
7%
19°C
$79 交易量
10%
20°C
$484 交易量
17%
21°C
$115 交易量
36%
22°C
$106 交易量
26%
23°C
$55 交易量
11%
24°C
$52 交易量
9%
25°C
$104 交易量
4%
26°C或更高
$228 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a high near 21-22°C in Tel Aviv on April 5, reflecting trader sentiment with those outcomes leading at 34% and 28% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from anticipated moderate westerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing peak solar insolation and daytime heating, against a climatological April early-month average of 22-23°C influenced by warming Mediterranean sea surface temperatures. Close competition between 21°C and 22°C arises from model spread on exact timing of clearing skies and sea breeze onset, introducing uncertainty typical of short-range mesoscale forecasts. New model runs expected April 4 morning may sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,876结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a high near 21-22°C in Tel Aviv on April 5, reflecting trader sentiment with those outcomes leading at 34% and 28% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from anticipated moderate westerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing peak solar insolation and daytime heating, against a climatological April early-month average of 22-23°C influenced by warming Mediterranean sea surface temperatures. Close competition between 21°C and 22°C arises from model spread on exact timing of clearing skies and sea breeze onset, introducing uncertainty typical of short-range mesoscale forecasts. New model runs expected April 4 morning may sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,876结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a high near 21-22°C in Tel Aviv on April 5, reflecting trader sentiment with those outcomes leading at 34% and 28% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from anticipated moderate westerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing peak solar insolation and daytime heating, against a climatological April early-month average of 22-23°C influenced by warming Mediterranean sea surface temperatures. Close competition between 21°C and 22°C arises from model spread on exact timing of clearing skies and sea breeze onset, introducing uncertainty typical of short-range mesoscale forecasts. New model runs expected April 4 morning may sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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