Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (42.5%) and 24°C (31.5%) as the highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on daytime highs around 23-26°C amid abundant sunshine and light northwesterly winds. AccuWeather projects 26°C at the NOAA resolution station, while TimeAndDate indicates 23°C, reflecting minor model spread typical for early spring in Tel Aviv, where April averages hover near 22°C. Recent hazy conditions and a cooling trend from April 2's ~25°C high have positioned these outcomes ahead, with sea breeze effects and afternoon cloudiness as key uncertainties; hourly observations will finalize resolution via NOAA's LLBG timeseries by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
23°C 44%
24°C 33%
22°C 11%
25°C 3.3%
$14,423 交易量
$14,423 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
44%
24°C
33%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 44%
24°C 33%
22°C 11%
25°C 3.3%
$14,423 交易量
$14,423 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
44%
24°C
33%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (42.5%) and 24°C (31.5%) as the highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 4, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on daytime highs around 23-26°C amid abundant sunshine and light northwesterly winds. AccuWeather projects 26°C at the NOAA resolution station, while TimeAndDate indicates 23°C, reflecting minor model spread typical for early spring in Tel Aviv, where April averages hover near 22°C. Recent hazy conditions and a cooling trend from April 2's ~25°C high have positioned these outcomes ahead, with sea breeze effects and afternoon cloudiness as key uncertainties; hourly observations will finalize resolution via NOAA's LLBG timeseries by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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