Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 57°F or below in Chicago on April 4 (57% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 57°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and west winds 10-15 mph. This aligns with climatological normals of 54.4°F at O'Hare and recent GFS/ECMWF ensemble guidance showing means in the mid-50s amid a 10-15°F spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing from a lingering low-pressure trough. Persistent light rain over the past 24 hours has cooled surface conditions, while equal-chance spring outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add uncertainty; watch 12z model runs Friday for potential shifts before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 4?
57°F or below 56%
58-59°F 16%
60-61°F 14%
62-63°F 11%
$52,407 交易量
$52,407 交易量
2026-04-04
57°F or below
56%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 56%
58-59°F 16%
60-61°F 14%
62-63°F 11%
$52,407 交易量
$52,407 交易量
2026-04-04
57°F or below
$7,133 交易量
56%
58-59°F
$3,905 交易量
16%
60-61°F
$4,533 交易量
14%
62-63°F
$4,108 交易量
11%
64-65°F
$3,761 交易量
4%
66-67°F
$4,151 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$5,601 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$4,764 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$6,459 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$2,782 交易量
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,276 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 57°F or below in Chicago on April 4 (57% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 57°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and west winds 10-15 mph. This aligns with climatological normals of 54.4°F at O'Hare and recent GFS/ECMWF ensemble guidance showing means in the mid-50s amid a 10-15°F spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing from a lingering low-pressure trough. Persistent light rain over the past 24 hours has cooled surface conditions, while equal-chance spring outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add uncertainty; watch 12z model runs Friday for potential shifts before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$52,407结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 57°F or below in Chicago on April 4 (57% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 57°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and west winds 10-15 mph. This aligns with climatological normals of 54.4°F at O'Hare and recent GFS/ECMWF ensemble guidance showing means in the mid-50s amid a 10-15°F spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing from a lingering low-pressure trough. Persistent light rain over the past 24 hours has cooled surface conditions, while equal-chance spring outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add uncertainty; watch 12z model runs Friday for potential shifts before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,407结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 57°F or below in Chicago on April 4 (57% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 57°F under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and west winds 10-15 mph. This aligns with climatological normals of 54.4°F at O'Hare and recent GFS/ECMWF ensemble guidance showing means in the mid-50s amid a 10-15°F spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing from a lingering low-pressure trough. Persistent light rain over the past 24 hours has cooled surface conditions, while equal-chance spring outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add uncertainty; watch 12z model runs Friday for potential shifts before resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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