Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting downtown Los Angeles highs near 71-73°F on April 6, with a 2-3°F spread driving the close contest between 70-71°F (24.5% implied probability) and 72-73°F (21.0%). Persistent upper-level high pressure over California supports above-normal temperatures—historical April averages hover around 73°F at USC—but light onshore flow and lingering marine stratus clouds temper coastal heating, capping upside potential beyond 75°F while introducing variability in stratus burn-off timing. Recent area forecast discussions highlight gusty Santa Ana winds easing, favoring partly cloudy to sunny conditions with low precipitation risk. Watch evening model updates and tomorrow's NWS guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
78°F or higher 15.1%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
7%
78°F or higher
15%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
78°F or higher 15.1%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
7%
78°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting downtown Los Angeles highs near 71-73°F on April 6, with a 2-3°F spread driving the close contest between 70-71°F (24.5% implied probability) and 72-73°F (21.0%). Persistent upper-level high pressure over California supports above-normal temperatures—historical April averages hover around 73°F at USC—but light onshore flow and lingering marine stratus clouds temper coastal heating, capping upside potential beyond 75°F while introducing variability in stratus burn-off timing. Recent area forecast discussions highlight gusty Santa Ana winds easing, favoring partly cloudy to sunny conditions with low precipitation risk. Watch evening model updates and tomorrow's NWS guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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