Latest National Weather Service climatological data for Chicago shows April 8 normals at 56°F highs, aligning with the 83% market-implied probability for 50°F or higher as GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a 42-55°F spread, favoring low-to-mid 50s under potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours reflect this consensus amid a spring transition from cooler early April patterns, with no entrenched cold fronts or Arctic air masses projected. Trader sentiment clusters secondary odds around 36-47°F bins due to ensemble variability from troughing risks. Daily forecast updates from NOAA models and NWS Chicago discussions through April 6-7 will refine intensification potential and steering influences ahead of resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
50°F or higher 89%
36-37°F 6.6%
46-47°F 5%
44-45°F 4.9%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
31°F or below
3%
32-33°F
3%
34-35°F
3%
36-37°F
7%
38-39°F
4%
40-41°F
4%
42-43°F
5%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
1%
50°F or higher
89%
50°F or higher 89%
36-37°F 6.6%
46-47°F 5%
44-45°F 4.9%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
31°F or below
$269 交易量
3%
32-33°F
$135 交易量
3%
34-35°F
$135 交易量
3%
36-37°F
$325 交易量
7%
38-39°F
$124 交易量
4%
40-41°F
$123 交易量
4%
42-43°F
$123 交易量
5%
44-45°F
$123 交易量
5%
46-47°F
$115 交易量
5%
48-49°F
$336 交易量
1%
50°F or higher
$303 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service climatological data for Chicago shows April 8 normals at 56°F highs, aligning with the 83% market-implied probability for 50°F or higher as GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a 42-55°F spread, favoring low-to-mid 50s under potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours reflect this consensus amid a spring transition from cooler early April patterns, with no entrenched cold fronts or Arctic air masses projected. Trader sentiment clusters secondary odds around 36-47°F bins due to ensemble variability from troughing risks. Daily forecast updates from NOAA models and NWS Chicago discussions through April 6-7 will refine intensification potential and steering influences ahead of resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$2,110结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service climatological data for Chicago shows April 8 normals at 56°F highs, aligning with the 83% market-implied probability for 50°F or higher as GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a 42-55°F spread, favoring low-to-mid 50s under potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours reflect this consensus amid a spring transition from cooler early April patterns, with no entrenched cold fronts or Arctic air masses projected. Trader sentiment clusters secondary odds around 36-47°F bins due to ensemble variability from troughing risks. Daily forecast updates from NOAA models and NWS Chicago discussions through April 6-7 will refine intensification potential and steering influences ahead of resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,110结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETLatest National Weather Service climatological data for Chicago shows April 8 normals at 56°F highs, aligning with the 83% market-implied probability for 50°F or higher as GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a 42-55°F spread, favoring low-to-mid 50s under potential southwesterly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours reflect this consensus amid a spring transition from cooler early April patterns, with no entrenched cold fronts or Arctic air masses projected. Trader sentiment clusters secondary odds around 36-47°F bins due to ensemble variability from troughing risks. Daily forecast updates from NOAA models and NWS Chicago discussions through April 6-7 will refine intensification potential and steering influences ahead of resolution at O'Hare International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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