National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 71% implied probability for 80°F or higher as the market's leading outcome. This reflects building upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming after recent cooler highs around 70°F amid lingering marine layer effects earlier this week. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show consensus peaks of 78-82°F, well above the April climatological average of 72°F at USC Campus Downtown—the resolution station per Wunderground data. Uncertainties include potential morning stratus burn-off delays or nocturnal cooling, with new 12Z model runs and evening NWS updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
80°F or higher 75%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 5%
74-75°F 4.5%
$21,879 交易量
$21,879 交易量
2026-04-04
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
17%
80°F or higher
75%
80°F or higher 75%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 5%
74-75°F 4.5%
$21,879 交易量
$21,879 交易量
2026-04-04
61°F or below
$3,725 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,767 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,396 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$2,167 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,315 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$3,690 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$2,034 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$1,171 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$1,249 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$846 交易量
17%
80°F or higher
$1,842 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 71% implied probability for 80°F or higher as the market's leading outcome. This reflects building upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming after recent cooler highs around 70°F amid lingering marine layer effects earlier this week. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show consensus peaks of 78-82°F, well above the April climatological average of 72°F at USC Campus Downtown—the resolution station per Wunderground data. Uncertainties include potential morning stratus burn-off delays or nocturnal cooling, with new 12Z model runs and evening NWS updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
交易量
$21,879结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 71% implied probability for 80°F or higher as the market's leading outcome. This reflects building upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming after recent cooler highs around 70°F amid lingering marine layer effects earlier this week. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show consensus peaks of 78-82°F, well above the April climatological average of 72°F at USC Campus Downtown—the resolution station per Wunderground data. Uncertainties include potential morning stratus burn-off delays or nocturnal cooling, with new 12Z model runs and evening NWS updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,879结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 4 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 71% implied probability for 80°F or higher as the market's leading outcome. This reflects building upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and adiabatic warming after recent cooler highs around 70°F amid lingering marine layer effects earlier this week. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show consensus peaks of 78-82°F, well above the April climatological average of 72°F at USC Campus Downtown—the resolution station per Wunderground data. Uncertainties include potential morning stratus burn-off delays or nocturnal cooling, with new 12Z model runs and evening NWS updates expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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