Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster projected high temperatures in downtown Los Angeles on April 5 between 68-76°F, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly matched across 70-77°F bins as coastal marine layer effects create uncertainty. Recent strong onshore winds and gusts up to 55 mph on April 2 have suppressed highs via persistent stratocumulus clouds, but model runs indicate partial clearing and ridge building aloft could push peaks toward 76-77°F. Climatological April norms hover near 73°F amid the La Niña to ENSO-neutral transition, though short-term steering patterns dominate. Watch National Weather Service updates and new 12Z model cycles for refinements ahead of resolution at LAX or downtown stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日洛杉矶气温最高?
4月5日洛杉矶气温最高?
76-77°F 23%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 20%
70-71°F 16%
$10,194 交易量
$10,194 交易量
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86华氏度或更高
2%
76-77°F 23%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 20%
70-71°F 16%
$10,194 交易量
$10,194 交易量
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86华氏度或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster projected high temperatures in downtown Los Angeles on April 5 between 68-76°F, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly matched across 70-77°F bins as coastal marine layer effects create uncertainty. Recent strong onshore winds and gusts up to 55 mph on April 2 have suppressed highs via persistent stratocumulus clouds, but model runs indicate partial clearing and ridge building aloft could push peaks toward 76-77°F. Climatological April norms hover near 73°F amid the La Niña to ENSO-neutral transition, though short-term steering patterns dominate. Watch National Weather Service updates and new 12Z model cycles for refinements ahead of resolution at LAX or downtown stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题