Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 8, with evenly split implied probabilities between an unusually cool 57°F or below (50%)—tied to persistent coastal marine layer stratus and onshore flow—and a hot 76°F or higher (50%), driven by potential high-pressure ridging amplifying downslope warming. Mid-range bins like 70-75°F (48.5%) capture normal April climatology around 72°F at USC, but divergent GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spreads from low 60s to upper 70s amid ENSO-neutral transition favoring above-normal Southern California heat. Key differentiators include stratus burn-off timing and wind shifts; monitor daily NWS updates and GOES satellite imagery for marine layer evolution through April 6-7 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
76°F or higher 30%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
57°F or below
3%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
22%
76°F or higher
30%
76°F or higher 30%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
57°F or below
$30 交易量
3%
58-59°F
$10 交易量
3%
60-61°F
$15 交易量
8%
62-63°F
$15 交易量
8%
64-65°F
$10 交易量
19%
66-67°F
$10 交易量
19%
68-69°F
$10 交易量
27%
70-71°F
$22 交易量
24%
72-73°F
$10 交易量
18%
74-75°F
$10 交易量
22%
76°F or higher
$68 交易量
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 8, with evenly split implied probabilities between an unusually cool 57°F or below (50%)—tied to persistent coastal marine layer stratus and onshore flow—and a hot 76°F or higher (50%), driven by potential high-pressure ridging amplifying downslope warming. Mid-range bins like 70-75°F (48.5%) capture normal April climatology around 72°F at USC, but divergent GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spreads from low 60s to upper 70s amid ENSO-neutral transition favoring above-normal Southern California heat. Key differentiators include stratus burn-off timing and wind shifts; monitor daily NWS updates and GOES satellite imagery for marine layer evolution through April 6-7 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$200结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 8, with evenly split implied probabilities between an unusually cool 57°F or below (50%)—tied to persistent coastal marine layer stratus and onshore flow—and a hot 76°F or higher (50%), driven by potential high-pressure ridging amplifying downslope warming. Mid-range bins like 70-75°F (48.5%) capture normal April climatology around 72°F at USC, but divergent GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spreads from low 60s to upper 70s amid ENSO-neutral transition favoring above-normal Southern California heat. Key differentiators include stratus burn-off timing and wind shifts; monitor daily NWS updates and GOES satellite imagery for marine layer evolution through April 6-7 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$200结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 8, with evenly split implied probabilities between an unusually cool 57°F or below (50%)—tied to persistent coastal marine layer stratus and onshore flow—and a hot 76°F or higher (50%), driven by potential high-pressure ridging amplifying downslope warming. Mid-range bins like 70-75°F (48.5%) capture normal April climatology around 72°F at USC, but divergent GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spreads from low 60s to upper 70s amid ENSO-neutral transition favoring above-normal Southern California heat. Key differentiators include stratus burn-off timing and wind shifts; monitor daily NWS updates and GOES satellite imagery for marine layer evolution through April 6-7 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题