**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月2日伦敦气温最高？
4月2日伦敦气温最高？
12°C 100.0%
8℃或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 交易量
$510,657 交易量
2026-04-02
8℃或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
8℃或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 交易量
$510,657 交易量
2026-04-02
8℃或以下
$38,812 交易量
否
9°C
$17,520 交易量
否
10°C
$27,576 交易量
否
11°C
$105,069 交易量
否
12°C
$85,707 交易量
是
13°C
$140,649 交易量
否
14°C
$29,470 交易量
否
15°C
$15,633 交易量
否
16°C
$14,828 交易量
否
17°C
$10,181 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$25,211 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$510,657结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$510,657结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题