Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 14°C (30.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.0%) as London's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the tight clustering in latest official forecasts from the Met Office (projecting 17°C under sunny conditions) and BBC Weather (15°C with sunny intervals and gentle southerly winds). This positioning stems from yesterday's forecast updates amid a transitioning weather pattern: a blustery low-pressure system easing after Easter weekend's cooler Sunday high of 13°C, allowing high-pressure ridging to boost daytime solar heating. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud breaks, light winds (8-28 mph gusts), and urban heat effects at the resolving London City Airport station—potentially capping at 14°C if partial clouding persists or pushing to 15-16°C with clearer skies. New model runs expected daily through Sunday will refine these uncertainties, given short-range forecast divergence typical in spring's volatile jet stream positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月6日伦敦气温最高？
4月6日伦敦气温最高？
14°C 31%
15°C 29%
13°C 14%
16°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
31%
15°C
29%
16°C
14%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C或更高
2%
14°C 31%
15°C 29%
13°C 14%
16°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
9°C或以下
$1,456 交易量
1%
10°C
$527 交易量
2%
11°C
$541 交易量
7%
12°C
$809 交易量
6%
13°C
$472 交易量
14%
14°C
$437 交易量
31%
15°C
$511 交易量
29%
16°C
$343 交易量
14%
17°C
$353 交易量
5%
18°C
$227 交易量
2%
19°C或更高
$258 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 14°C (30.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.0%) as London's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the tight clustering in latest official forecasts from the Met Office (projecting 17°C under sunny conditions) and BBC Weather (15°C with sunny intervals and gentle southerly winds). This positioning stems from yesterday's forecast updates amid a transitioning weather pattern: a blustery low-pressure system easing after Easter weekend's cooler Sunday high of 13°C, allowing high-pressure ridging to boost daytime solar heating. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud breaks, light winds (8-28 mph gusts), and urban heat effects at the resolving London City Airport station—potentially capping at 14°C if partial clouding persists or pushing to 15-16°C with clearer skies. New model runs expected daily through Sunday will refine these uncertainties, given short-range forecast divergence typical in spring's volatile jet stream positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$5,925结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 14°C (30.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.0%) as London's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the tight clustering in latest official forecasts from the Met Office (projecting 17°C under sunny conditions) and BBC Weather (15°C with sunny intervals and gentle southerly winds). This positioning stems from yesterday's forecast updates amid a transitioning weather pattern: a blustery low-pressure system easing after Easter weekend's cooler Sunday high of 13°C, allowing high-pressure ridging to boost daytime solar heating. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud breaks, light winds (8-28 mph gusts), and urban heat effects at the resolving London City Airport station—potentially capping at 14°C if partial clouding persists or pushing to 15-16°C with clearer skies. New model runs expected daily through Sunday will refine these uncertainties, given short-range forecast divergence typical in spring's volatile jet stream positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,925结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 14°C (30.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.0%) as London's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the tight clustering in latest official forecasts from the Met Office (projecting 17°C under sunny conditions) and BBC Weather (15°C with sunny intervals and gentle southerly winds). This positioning stems from yesterday's forecast updates amid a transitioning weather pattern: a blustery low-pressure system easing after Easter weekend's cooler Sunday high of 13°C, allowing high-pressure ridging to boost daytime solar heating. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud breaks, light winds (8-28 mph gusts), and urban heat effects at the resolving London City Airport station—potentially capping at 14°C if partial clouding persists or pushing to 15-16°C with clearer skies. New model runs expected daily through Sunday will refine these uncertainties, given short-range forecast divergence typical in spring's volatile jet stream positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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