Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Milan's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official Weather Underground records from Malpensa International Airport station (LIMC) confirming a peak of 18°C during afternoon hours amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with National Weather Service analogs and ECMWF model outputs predicting mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, where early April highs typically range 16–20°C based on 30-year climatology. Direct station observations via METAR reports provide robust evidence, leaving negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor malfunction or audit, unlikely given standardized measurement protocols; final resolution awaits Wunderground's daily history confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 2?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$113,727 交易量
$113,727 交易量
2026-04-02
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$113,727 交易量
$113,727 交易量
2026-04-02
12°C or below
$4,687 交易量
No
13°C
$2,183 交易量
No
14°C
$4,655 交易量
No
15°C
$2,429 交易量
No
16°C
$27,120 交易量
No
17°C
$24,987 交易量
No
18°C
$19,159 交易量
Yes
19°C
$10,350 交易量
No
20°C
$6,383 交易量
No
21°C
$5,820 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$5,954 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Milan's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official Weather Underground records from Malpensa International Airport station (LIMC) confirming a peak of 18°C during afternoon hours amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with National Weather Service analogs and ECMWF model outputs predicting mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, where early April highs typically range 16–20°C based on 30-year climatology. Direct station observations via METAR reports provide robust evidence, leaving negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor malfunction or audit, unlikely given standardized measurement protocols; final resolution awaits Wunderground's daily history confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
交易量
$113,727结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Milan's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official Weather Underground records from Malpensa International Airport station (LIMC) confirming a peak of 18°C during afternoon hours amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with National Weather Service analogs and ECMWF model outputs predicting mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, where early April highs typically range 16–20°C based on 30-year climatology. Direct station observations via METAR reports provide robust evidence, leaving negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor malfunction or audit, unlikely given standardized measurement protocols; final resolution awaits Wunderground's daily history confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$113,727结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:54 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Milan's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official Weather Underground records from Malpensa International Airport station (LIMC) confirming a peak of 18°C during afternoon hours amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with National Weather Service analogs and ECMWF model outputs predicting mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, where early April highs typically range 16–20°C based on 30-year climatology. Direct station observations via METAR reports provide robust evidence, leaving negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from sensor malfunction or audit, unlikely given standardized measurement protocols; final resolution awaits Wunderground's daily history confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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