Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, updated April 4, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 6 at 14-16°C under mostly sunny skies with light southwest breezes following northerly winds and sandstorm alerts earlier this week, reflecting a cooling trend after weekend highs near 19°C. However, global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread, with some members reaching 19-20°C if cold air advection weakens or high-pressure ridging accelerates, fueling trader consensus for closely matched implied probabilities around 17-20°C outcomes at 16.5-24.9%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, soil moisture from recent dry conditions boosting daytime heating, and precise steering of upper-level patterns; watch CMA's April 5 advisory for refined guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
19°C 25%
20°C or higher 23.3%
18°C 18%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C or higher
23%
19°C 25%
20°C or higher 23.3%
18°C 18%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C or below
$509 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,098 交易量
1%
12°C
$1,165 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,855 交易量
1%
14°C
$1,549 交易量
2%
15°C
$464 交易量
5%
16°C
$715 交易量
8%
17°C
$421 交易量
17%
18°C
$500 交易量
18%
19°C
$390 交易量
25%
20°C or higher
$1,043 交易量
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, updated April 4, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 6 at 14-16°C under mostly sunny skies with light southwest breezes following northerly winds and sandstorm alerts earlier this week, reflecting a cooling trend after weekend highs near 19°C. However, global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread, with some members reaching 19-20°C if cold air advection weakens or high-pressure ridging accelerates, fueling trader consensus for closely matched implied probabilities around 17-20°C outcomes at 16.5-24.9%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, soil moisture from recent dry conditions boosting daytime heating, and precise steering of upper-level patterns; watch CMA's April 5 advisory for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
交易量
$9,709结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, updated April 4, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 6 at 14-16°C under mostly sunny skies with light southwest breezes following northerly winds and sandstorm alerts earlier this week, reflecting a cooling trend after weekend highs near 19°C. However, global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread, with some members reaching 19-20°C if cold air advection weakens or high-pressure ridging accelerates, fueling trader consensus for closely matched implied probabilities around 17-20°C outcomes at 16.5-24.9%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, soil moisture from recent dry conditions boosting daytime heating, and precise steering of upper-level patterns; watch CMA's April 5 advisory for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,709结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, updated April 4, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 6 at 14-16°C under mostly sunny skies with light southwest breezes following northerly winds and sandstorm alerts earlier this week, reflecting a cooling trend after weekend highs near 19°C. However, global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread, with some members reaching 19-20°C if cold air advection weakens or high-pressure ridging accelerates, fueling trader consensus for closely matched implied probabilities around 17-20°C outcomes at 16.5-24.9%. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, soil moisture from recent dry conditions boosting daytime heating, and precise steering of upper-level patterns; watch CMA's April 5 advisory for refined guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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