Trader sentiment for NYC's highest temperature on April 6 at LaGuardia Airport reflects tight uncertainty between major forecast models, with the National Weather Service noting a cool Canadian air mass following a frontal passage, yielding daytime highs in the 40s to 50s—5 to 10 degrees below early April climatological norms of around 56°F. The ECMWF model consensus leans toward persistent overcast stratus and fog remnants capping highs at 52-53°F, while the GFS hints at partial afternoon clearing and better mixing for 56-57°F peaks, driving the near-even market-implied odds across 52-59°F bins at 15.5-25%. No precipitation is forecast, but cloud cover remains the key differentiator; watch NWS updates and fresh model runs over the next 24 hours for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
56-57°F 26%
54-55°F 22%
58-59°F 16%
52-53°F 15%
$11,456 交易量
$11,456 交易量
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
56-57°F 26%
54-55°F 22%
58-59°F 16%
52-53°F 15%
$11,456 交易量
$11,456 交易量
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment for NYC's highest temperature on April 6 at LaGuardia Airport reflects tight uncertainty between major forecast models, with the National Weather Service noting a cool Canadian air mass following a frontal passage, yielding daytime highs in the 40s to 50s—5 to 10 degrees below early April climatological norms of around 56°F. The ECMWF model consensus leans toward persistent overcast stratus and fog remnants capping highs at 52-53°F, while the GFS hints at partial afternoon clearing and better mixing for 56-57°F peaks, driving the near-even market-implied odds across 52-59°F bins at 15.5-25%. No precipitation is forecast, but cloud cover remains the key differentiator; watch NWS updates and fresh model runs over the next 24 hours for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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