Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 2, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by official observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C this afternoon under partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS converged on a 17-19°C daily maximum pre-dawn, validated by hourly data showing a midday crest before evening cooldown amid rising humidity and cloud cover. April climatology averages 16-17°C highs, reinforcing this positioning. Only an improbable late-afternoon solar surge from sudden clearing could push to 19°C or higher, but sunset and stable upper-air patterns make it negligible.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$200,249 交易量
$200,249 交易量
2026-04-02
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$200,249 交易量
$200,249 交易量
2026-04-02
10°C or below
$7,896 交易量
No
11°C
$6,159 交易量
No
12°C
$11,436 交易量
No
13°C
$14,722 交易量
No
14°C
$19,943 交易量
No
15°C
$13,646 交易量
No
16°C
$18,871 交易量
No
17°C
$32,058 交易量
No
18°C
$31,186 交易量
Yes
19°C
$26,593 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$17,739 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 2, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by official observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C this afternoon under partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS converged on a 17-19°C daily maximum pre-dawn, validated by hourly data showing a midday crest before evening cooldown amid rising humidity and cloud cover. April climatology averages 16-17°C highs, reinforcing this positioning. Only an improbable late-afternoon solar surge from sudden clearing could push to 19°C or higher, but sunset and stable upper-air patterns make it negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$200,249结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 2, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by official observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C this afternoon under partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS converged on a 17-19°C daily maximum pre-dawn, validated by hourly data showing a midday crest before evening cooldown amid rising humidity and cloud cover. April climatology averages 16-17°C highs, reinforcing this positioning. Only an improbable late-afternoon solar surge from sudden clearing could push to 19°C or higher, but sunset and stable upper-air patterns make it negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$200,249结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 2, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by official observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C this afternoon under partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS converged on a 17-19°C daily maximum pre-dawn, validated by hourly data showing a midday crest before evening cooldown amid rising humidity and cloud cover. April climatology averages 16-17°C highs, reinforcing this positioning. Only an improbable late-afternoon solar surge from sudden clearing could push to 19°C or higher, but sunset and stable upper-air patterns make it negligible.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题