Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月2日成都气温最高？
4月2日成都气温最高？
21°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,259 交易量
$101,259 交易量
2026-04-02
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,259 交易量
$101,259 交易量
2026-04-02
17°C或以下
$8,928 交易量
否
18°C
$6,683 交易量
否
19°C
$11,036 交易量
否
20°C
$11,569 交易量
否
21°C
$13,122 交易量
是
22°C
$9,709 交易量
否
23°C
$6,583 交易量
否
24°C
$8,274 交易量
否
25°C
$12,535 交易量
否
26°C
$4,666 交易量
否
27°C或更高
$8,155 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$101,259结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$101,259结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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