Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 2?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$139,364 交易量
$139,364 交易量
2026-04-02
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$139,364 交易量
$139,364 交易量
2026-04-02
9°C or below
$1,702 交易量
No
10°C
$2,780 交易量
No
11°C
$2,788 交易量
No
12°C
$3,331 交易量
No
13°C
$25,183 交易量
No
14°C
$14,485 交易量
No
15°C
$12,624 交易量
No
16°C
$18,086 交易量
No
17°C
$26,205 交易量
Yes
18°C
$17,837 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$14,341 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
交易量
$139,364结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$139,364结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题