Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (43% implied probability) for Istanbul on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs around 15-16°C under persistent overcast skies and light sprinkles, as shown in recent timeanddate.com updates. Early April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 15°C amid Black Sea-influenced mild but variable conditions, where cloud cover often caps peaks 1-2°C below sunnier projections. Recent observations from April 3-4 confirm drizzle and southeast winds keeping temperatures subdued around 16°C, tempering expectations for warmer outliers. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new model runs tomorrow could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 5?
15°C 46%
13°C 29%
14°C 21%
12°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
10°C or below
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
24%
14°C
21%
15°C
38%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 46%
13°C 29%
14°C 21%
12°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
10°C or below
$271 交易量
2%
11°C
$196 交易量
4%
12°C
$248 交易量
11%
13°C
$259 交易量
24%
14°C
$188 交易量
21%
15°C
$415 交易量
38%
16°C
$235 交易量
14%
17°C
$224 交易量
2%
18°C
$193 交易量
5%
19°C
$269 交易量
3%
20°C or higher
$832 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (43% implied probability) for Istanbul on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs around 15-16°C under persistent overcast skies and light sprinkles, as shown in recent timeanddate.com updates. Early April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 15°C amid Black Sea-influenced mild but variable conditions, where cloud cover often caps peaks 1-2°C below sunnier projections. Recent observations from April 3-4 confirm drizzle and southeast winds keeping temperatures subdued around 16°C, tempering expectations for warmer outliers. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new model runs tomorrow could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$3,330结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (43% implied probability) for Istanbul on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs around 15-16°C under persistent overcast skies and light sprinkles, as shown in recent timeanddate.com updates. Early April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 15°C amid Black Sea-influenced mild but variable conditions, where cloud cover often caps peaks 1-2°C below sunnier projections. Recent observations from April 3-4 confirm drizzle and southeast winds keeping temperatures subdued around 16°C, tempering expectations for warmer outliers. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new model runs tomorrow could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,330结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (43% implied probability) for Istanbul on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs around 15-16°C under persistent overcast skies and light sprinkles, as shown in recent timeanddate.com updates. Early April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 15°C amid Black Sea-influenced mild but variable conditions, where cloud cover often caps peaks 1-2°C below sunnier projections. Recent observations from April 3-4 confirm drizzle and southeast winds keeping temperatures subdued around 16°C, tempering expectations for warmer outliers. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and new model runs tomorrow could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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