Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$116,241 交易量
$116,241 交易量
2026-04-02
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$116,241 交易量
$116,241 交易量
2026-04-02
16°C or below
$14,051 交易量
No
17°C
$11,441 交易量
No
18°C
$16,858 交易量
No
19°C
$14,357 交易量
Yes
20°C
$12,875 交易量
No
21°C
$7,417 交易量
No
22°C
$7,492 交易量
No
23°C
$16,662 交易量
No
24°C
$4,707 交易量
No
25°C
$4,622 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$5,760 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
交易量
$116,241结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$116,241结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题