Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C at Ezeiza Airport, with means near 22°C, fueling trader consensus on 21°C (27.5% implied probability) amid a tight race with 20°C (23%) and 22°C (19%). This positioning reflects a cooling trend after recent highs exceeding 27°C, driven by southerly winds ushering cooler South Atlantic air and potential sea breeze intensification, moderating daytime heating in early autumn conditions. Model discrepancies hinge on low-level moisture and cloud cover timing—more persistent overcast favors 20°C, while clearer skies tip toward 22°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and final 00Z runs today could refine odds before resolution. Historical early April maxima average 23°C, providing climatological context.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 28%
20°C 24%
22°C 19%
19°C 10.9%
$21,635 交易量
$21,635 交易量
2026-04-04
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
19%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 28%
20°C 24%
22°C 19%
19°C 10.9%
$21,635 交易量
$21,635 交易量
2026-04-04
17°C or below
$1,669 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,165 交易量
3%
19°C
$1,507 交易量
11%
20°C
$1,412 交易量
24%
21°C
$1,552 交易量
28%
22°C
$1,435 交易量
19%
23°C
$1,324 交易量
10%
24°C
$2,065 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,745 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,171 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,643 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C at Ezeiza Airport, with means near 22°C, fueling trader consensus on 21°C (27.5% implied probability) amid a tight race with 20°C (23%) and 22°C (19%). This positioning reflects a cooling trend after recent highs exceeding 27°C, driven by southerly winds ushering cooler South Atlantic air and potential sea breeze intensification, moderating daytime heating in early autumn conditions. Model discrepancies hinge on low-level moisture and cloud cover timing—more persistent overcast favors 20°C, while clearer skies tip toward 22°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and final 00Z runs today could refine odds before resolution. Historical early April maxima average 23°C, providing climatological context.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
交易量
$21,635结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C at Ezeiza Airport, with means near 22°C, fueling trader consensus on 21°C (27.5% implied probability) amid a tight race with 20°C (23%) and 22°C (19%). This positioning reflects a cooling trend after recent highs exceeding 27°C, driven by southerly winds ushering cooler South Atlantic air and potential sea breeze intensification, moderating daytime heating in early autumn conditions. Model discrepancies hinge on low-level moisture and cloud cover timing—more persistent overcast favors 20°C, while clearer skies tip toward 22°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and final 00Z runs today could refine odds before resolution. Historical early April maxima average 23°C, providing climatological context.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,635结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETLatest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 21-24°C at Ezeiza Airport, with means near 22°C, fueling trader consensus on 21°C (27.5% implied probability) amid a tight race with 20°C (23%) and 22°C (19%). This positioning reflects a cooling trend after recent highs exceeding 27°C, driven by southerly winds ushering cooler South Atlantic air and potential sea breeze intensification, moderating daytime heating in early autumn conditions. Model discrepancies hinge on low-level moisture and cloud cover timing—more persistent overcast favors 20°C, while clearer skies tip toward 22°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and final 00Z runs today could refine odds before resolution. Historical early April maxima average 23°C, providing climatological context.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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