Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
4月6日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
21°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C或更低
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C或更高
6%
21°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C或更低
$340 交易量
1%
15°C
$78 交易量
2%
16°C
$58 交易量
5%
17°C
$83 交易量
7%
18°C
$123 交易量
16%
19°C
$86 交易量
21%
20°C
$47 交易量
22%
21°C
$147 交易量
24%
22°C
$49 交易量
12%
23°C
$88 交易量
6%
24°C或更高
$414 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,511结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,511结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题