Trader sentiment clusters around 27–29°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ezeiza International Airport station on April 3, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a persistent blocking high-pressure ridge. This synoptic pattern promotes atmospheric subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation, sustaining an autumnal warm anomaly above the 22°C climatological average. Close probabilities—41.5% for 29°C+, 32.5% for 28°C, 22% for 27°C—reflect model spread, with deterministic GFS runs often capping at 28°C while ensemble tails extend to 30°C depending on afternoon cloudiness and peak heating timing around 3–5 p.m. local. Real-time observations will sharpen resolution via Wunderground's daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月3日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
4月3日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
29°C或更高 47%
28°C 32%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
$42,817 交易量
$42,817 交易量
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
32%
29°C或更高
47%
29°C或更高 47%
28°C 32%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
$42,817 交易量
$42,817 交易量
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
32%
29°C或更高
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
Trader sentiment clusters around 27–29°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature at Ezeiza International Airport station on April 3, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a persistent blocking high-pressure ridge. This synoptic pattern promotes atmospheric subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation, sustaining an autumnal warm anomaly above the 22°C climatological average. Close probabilities—41.5% for 29°C+, 32.5% for 28°C, 22% for 27°C—reflect model spread, with deterministic GFS runs often capping at 28°C while ensemble tails extend to 30°C depending on afternoon cloudiness and peak heating timing around 3–5 p.m. local. Real-time observations will sharpen resolution via Wunderground's daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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