Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
60-61°F 36%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.3%
$17,245 交易量
$17,245 交易量
2026-04-04
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
36%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 36%
62-63°F 30%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.3%
$17,245 交易量
$17,245 交易量
2026-04-04
49°F or below
$5,460 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$1,165 交易量
1%
52-53°F
$654 交易量
1%
54-55°F
$534 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$1,320 交易量
5%
58-59°F
$2,302 交易量
25%
60-61°F
$1,257 交易量
36%
62-63°F
$2,106 交易量
30%
64-65°F
$1,028 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$513 交易量
1%
68°F or higher
$904 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$17,245结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,245结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETLatest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance centers highs at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) around 58-62°F for April 4, driving trader consensus toward 60-61°F as the slim leader at 35% implied probability, with 62-63°F (29.5%) and 58-59°F (25%) close behind amid model spread. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge aloft promoting sunny skies and mild advection, countering persistent Puget Sound marine layer that caps early April climatological averages near 57°F; warmer-than-normal spring outlook from NOAA adds upside potential. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and morning stratus burn-off—full dissipation favors 62°F+, while lingering clouds pull toward 58°F. Watch NWS forecast updates and April 4 morning soundings for shifts before resolution via finalized KSEA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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