Trader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for 27°C (28.5%) or 28°C (31.0%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Climatempo showing maximums of 26–28°C amid partial cloud cover and potential afternoon showers. High-pressure systems dominating early April have reduced humidity but introduced instability from sea breezes and lingering moisture in the Southeast region, capping peak afternoon heating around 2–4 p.m. at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's resolution station. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) highlight uncertainty in cloud timing, with clearer skies favoring 28°C and increased convective activity tilting toward 27°C; INMET's next update expected April 4 could refine this. Historical early-April averages (25–27°C) align with current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 5?
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
26°C 20%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
20%
27°C
29%
28°C
31%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
26°C 20%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
22°C or below
$273 交易量
1%
23°C
$225 交易量
<1%
24°C
$142 交易量
4%
25°C
$171 交易量
12%
26°C
$182 交易量
20%
27°C
$197 交易量
29%
28°C
$223 交易量
31%
29°C
$541 交易量
11%
30°C
$91 交易量
5%
31°C
$132 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$171 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for 27°C (28.5%) or 28°C (31.0%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Climatempo showing maximums of 26–28°C amid partial cloud cover and potential afternoon showers. High-pressure systems dominating early April have reduced humidity but introduced instability from sea breezes and lingering moisture in the Southeast region, capping peak afternoon heating around 2–4 p.m. at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's resolution station. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) highlight uncertainty in cloud timing, with clearer skies favoring 28°C and increased convective activity tilting toward 27°C; INMET's next update expected April 4 could refine this. Historical early-April averages (25–27°C) align with current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,347结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for 27°C (28.5%) or 28°C (31.0%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Climatempo showing maximums of 26–28°C amid partial cloud cover and potential afternoon showers. High-pressure systems dominating early April have reduced humidity but introduced instability from sea breezes and lingering moisture in the Southeast region, capping peak afternoon heating around 2–4 p.m. at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's resolution station. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) highlight uncertainty in cloud timing, with clearer skies favoring 28°C and increased convective activity tilting toward 27°C; INMET's next update expected April 4 could refine this. Historical early-April averages (25–27°C) align with current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,347结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for 27°C (28.5%) or 28°C (31.0%) as São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Climatempo showing maximums of 26–28°C amid partial cloud cover and potential afternoon showers. High-pressure systems dominating early April have reduced humidity but introduced instability from sea breezes and lingering moisture in the Southeast region, capping peak afternoon heating around 2–4 p.m. at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's resolution station. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF analogs) highlight uncertainty in cloud timing, with clearer skies favoring 28°C and increased convective activity tilting toward 27°C; INMET's next update expected April 4 could refine this. Historical early-April averages (25–27°C) align with current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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