Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31.5%) and 28°C (28.5%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the tight spread in official forecasts from Climatempo (max 29°C) and CPTEC (near 27°C) amid evolving model runs. High-pressure systems dominate early autumn patterns, promoting daytime heating under partly sunny skies, but incoming moisture fuels 85% shower odds in the afternoon, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and humidity nearing 99%. Light northwest winds at 7 km/h offer minimal cooling, while historical April averages hover at 25°C; uncertainty hinges on morning sunshine duration before convection, with INMET's latest weekly update signaling above-normal warmth but irregular rain. New evening model ensembles could refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 4?
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
30°C 19%
27°C 13%
$10,191 交易量
$10,191 交易量
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
30°C 19%
27°C 13%
$10,191 交易量
$10,191 交易量
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31.5%) and 28°C (28.5%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the tight spread in official forecasts from Climatempo (max 29°C) and CPTEC (near 27°C) amid evolving model runs. High-pressure systems dominate early autumn patterns, promoting daytime heating under partly sunny skies, but incoming moisture fuels 85% shower odds in the afternoon, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and humidity nearing 99%. Light northwest winds at 7 km/h offer minimal cooling, while historical April averages hover at 25°C; uncertainty hinges on morning sunshine duration before convection, with INMET's latest weekly update signaling above-normal warmth but irregular rain. New evening model ensembles could refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题