National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 23?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 交易量
$108,872 交易量
2026-04-23
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 交易量
$108,872 交易量
2026-04-23
51°F or below
$3,814 交易量
No
52-53°F
$5,045 交易量
No
54-55°F
$1,301 交易量
No
56-57°F
$5,220 交易量
No
58-59°F
$3,429 交易量
No
60-61°F
$1,742 交易量
No
62-63°F
$5,288 交易量
No
64-65°F
$6,991 交易量
No
66-67°F
$7,072 交易量
No
68-69°F
$12,297 交易量
No
70°F or higher
$56,671 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$108,872结束日期
2026-04-23市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$108,872结束日期
2026-04-23市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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