National Weather Service forecasts project Austin's highest temperature today reaching near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, aligning with dominant trader sentiment assigning 100% implied probability to 82°F or higher. This positioning stems from morning cloudiness giving way to mostly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge, fostering above-normal warmth well exceeding the April climatological average of around 80°F. Ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports peak afternoon highs in the low 90s amid light winds and low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or an unexpected influx of cooler air, potentially capping temperatures below 82°F, though current guidance deems these scenarios improbable with observations updating hourly through evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 25?
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$74,864 交易量
$74,864 交易量
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
Yes
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$74,864 交易量
$74,864 交易量
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service forecasts project Austin's highest temperature today reaching near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, aligning with dominant trader sentiment assigning 100% implied probability to 82°F or higher. This positioning stems from morning cloudiness giving way to mostly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge, fostering above-normal warmth well exceeding the April climatological average of around 80°F. Ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports peak afternoon highs in the low 90s amid light winds and low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover or an unexpected influx of cooler air, potentially capping temperatures below 82°F, though current guidance deems these scenarios improbable with observations updating hourly through evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题