National Weather Service forecasts a high near 75°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today under abundant sunshine, light winds, and dry post-frontal conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA ensemble models projecting peak mid-afternoon heating from current midday readings around 65°F, following yesterday's unusually cool high—one of Austin's coldest for May 1—due to lingering cold air mass. Historical May norms near 83°F provide context for the rebound potential amid minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include low-probability marine layer intrusion or a late northerly wind shift capping temperatures below 74°F, with hourly observations and afternoon updates key to monitor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 2?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$67,761 交易量
$67,761 交易量
2026-05-02
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$67,761 交易量
$67,761 交易量
2026-05-02
55°F or below
$8,104 交易量
No
56-57°F
$5,246 交易量
No
58-59°F
$4,607 交易量
No
60-61°F
$4,282 交易量
No
62-63°F
$2,823 交易量
No
64-65°F
$7,019 交易量
No
66-67°F
$5,455 交易量
No
68-69°F
$6,795 交易量
No
70-71°F
$7,853 交易量
No
72-73°F
$6,490 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$9,088 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts a high near 75°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today under abundant sunshine, light winds, and dry post-frontal conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA ensemble models projecting peak mid-afternoon heating from current midday readings around 65°F, following yesterday's unusually cool high—one of Austin's coldest for May 1—due to lingering cold air mass. Historical May norms near 83°F provide context for the rebound potential amid minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include low-probability marine layer intrusion or a late northerly wind shift capping temperatures below 74°F, with hourly observations and afternoon updates key to monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$67,761结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts a high near 75°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today under abundant sunshine, light winds, and dry post-frontal conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA ensemble models projecting peak mid-afternoon heating from current midday readings around 65°F, following yesterday's unusually cool high—one of Austin's coldest for May 1—due to lingering cold air mass. Historical May norms near 83°F provide context for the rebound potential amid minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include low-probability marine layer intrusion or a late northerly wind shift capping temperatures below 74°F, with hourly observations and afternoon updates key to monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$67,761结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service forecasts a high near 75°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today under abundant sunshine, light winds, and dry post-frontal conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA ensemble models projecting peak mid-afternoon heating from current midday readings around 65°F, following yesterday's unusually cool high—one of Austin's coldest for May 1—due to lingering cold air mass. Historical May norms near 83°F provide context for the rebound potential amid minimal cloud cover. Realistic challenges include low-probability marine layer intrusion or a late northerly wind shift capping temperatures below 74°F, with hourly observations and afternoon updates key to monitor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题