Official meteorological forecasts from Chinese authorities project a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on June 3 amid thunderstorms and associated cloud cover, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s near-certain consensus on 30°C or below. This aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C but can be suppressed by convective activity and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus supports limited warming potential given the expected storm pattern and steering flow. A clear-sky breakout allowing greater surface heating or a delayed frontal passage could theoretically push readings above 30°C, though current observations and short-term guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on June 3?
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$144,676 交易量
$144,676 交易量
30°C or below
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$144,676 交易量
$144,676 交易量
30°C or below
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official meteorological forecasts from Chinese authorities project a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on June 3 amid thunderstorms and associated cloud cover, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s near-certain consensus on 30°C or below. This aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C but can be suppressed by convective activity and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus supports limited warming potential given the expected storm pattern and steering flow. A clear-sky breakout allowing greater surface heating or a delayed frontal passage could theoretically push readings above 30°C, though current observations and short-term guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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