Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature reached exactly 28°C on April 18, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This direct measurement from calibrated automated weather stations, reporting hourly maxima under clear skies and subsiding high-pressure conditions, exceeded pre-event forecasts of 24–26°C, reflecting typical spring-like warmth atypical for autumn baselines around 22°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-validation revisions for sensor anomalies, though SMN quality controls make such shifts improbable; the market awaits no further updates as resolution criteria are met.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月18日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$177,056 交易量
$177,056 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$177,056 交易量
$177,056 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature reached exactly 28°C on April 18, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This direct measurement from calibrated automated weather stations, reporting hourly maxima under clear skies and subsiding high-pressure conditions, exceeded pre-event forecasts of 24–26°C, reflecting typical spring-like warmth atypical for autumn baselines around 22°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-validation revisions for sensor anomalies, though SMN quality controls make such shifts improbable; the market awaits no further updates as resolution criteria are met.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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警惕外部链接哦。
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