Official observations from Buenos Aires' primary meteorological station recorded a daily maximum of 14°C on May 22, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches long-term climatological norms for late autumn in the region, where typical highs range from 13–16°C amid cooling southerly flows and partly cloudy conditions. Model guidance in the preceding days had converged on this narrow band, with minimal spread among ensemble runs. Only a significant upward revision in verified station data or a shift to an alternate reporting site could realistically alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$101,633 交易量
$101,633 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$101,633 交易量
$101,633 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Buenos Aires' primary meteorological station recorded a daily maximum of 14°C on May 22, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches long-term climatological norms for late autumn in the region, where typical highs range from 13–16°C amid cooling southerly flows and partly cloudy conditions. Model guidance in the preceding days had converged on this narrow band, with minimal spread among ensemble runs. Only a significant upward revision in verified station data or a shift to an alternate reporting site could realistically alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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