Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 交易量
$58,625 交易量
2026-05-09
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 交易量
$58,625 交易量
2026-05-09
6°C or below
$2,679 交易量
No
7°C
$1,126 交易量
No
8°C
$3,503 交易量
No
9°C
$5,212 交易量
No
10°C
$7,879 交易量
No
11°C
$5,375 交易量
No
12°C
$5,017 交易量
No
13°C
$6,948 交易量
Yes
14°C
$5,572 交易量
No
15°C
$6,898 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$8,416 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$58,625结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$58,625结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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