The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects Busan's highest temperature at 22°C on May 4, 2026, amid persistent cloudy skies, 30% precipitation chances, and light southwest winds from the sea, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations at Gimhae International Airport—Busan's resolution station—show morning readings near 19°C, with cloud cover suppressing solar heating and sea breezes capping daytime warming, aligning with early May climatological averages of 20-22°C. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing for greater insolation or warmer air advection, potentially pushing peaks to 23°C; monitor KMA hourly updates and final Wunderground airport data through late afternoon local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$43,114 交易量
$43,114 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$43,114 交易量
$43,114 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects Busan's highest temperature at 22°C on May 4, 2026, amid persistent cloudy skies, 30% precipitation chances, and light southwest winds from the sea, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Current observations at Gimhae International Airport—Busan's resolution station—show morning readings near 19°C, with cloud cover suppressing solar heating and sea breezes capping daytime warming, aligning with early May climatological averages of 20-22°C. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing for greater insolation or warmer air advection, potentially pushing peaks to 23°C; monitor KMA hourly updates and final Wunderground airport data through late afternoon local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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